Flagstaff Regional Plan Scenario Planning

Urban Analytics + Scenario Planning
Written by Dacie Doucette

Flagstaff Regional Plan Scenario Planning

Flagstaff, AZ · 2022–2025

 

Client: City of Flagstaff and Coconino County
Location: Flagstaff, AZ
Year: 2022–2025
CP Role: Lead consultant
Practice Area: Urban Analytics + Scenario Planning
Team: Alex Steinberger, Principal-in-Charge; Sachi Arakawa, Project Manager; Rachel Cotton, Scenario Planning; Ayano Healy, Engagement; Jamin Kimmell, Housing Policy and Zoning; Allison Platt, Adoption Support and Engagement

 

The Challenge

Flagstaff and Coconino County needed to update their Regional Plan through 2045 and had no structured way to weigh growth alternatives against forces like floods, federal funding, and autonomous vehicles.

Our Approach

We wanted people who are rarely in the room to shape the scenarios from the start. We paid community liaisons from underrepresented communities for their work and ran Face the Future Flagstaff, a map-based board game, with tribal communities and residents across the region. Their choices became four growth scenarios, which we modeled in UrbanFootprint for water use, travel, and housing cost.

Outcome

The Flagstaff City Council unanimously adopted the Flagstaff Regional Plan 2045 in October 2025, built on scenarios that came straight from residents' choices.

 

Related Projects

Projects
SJCOG 2026 Sustainable Communities Strategy
SJCOG 2026 Sustainable Communities Strategy

Cascadia Partners led the scenario planning for San Joaquin's 2026 Sustainable Communities Strategy, building on the 2022 plan we also led.

Read more →
Puget Sound Middle Housing Feasibility Analysis
Puget Sound Middle Housing Feasibility Analysis

Cascadia Partners tested eight middle housing types across Puget Sound markets for Washington Commerce, with data scaled to every jurisdiction in the state.

Read more →
Asheville Missing Middle Housing Initiative
Asheville Missing Middle Housing Initiative

Cascadia Partners showed where middle housing in Asheville can pencil for builders and stay attainable for workers, and where displacement risk calls for protections.

Read more →
Dacie Doucette

This article was written by Dacie Doucette, founder of Hunch Theory Web Design & SEO, a Portland-based web design and digital marketing company.

The idea was simple: to help business owners take the guesswork out of web design and make their online presence something they’re genuinely excited about. I work closely with passionate business owners and community leaders, turning their vision into reality with sites that not only look great but also connect with their customers and help their businesses grow.

I bring a mix of marketing theory, intuition, and my creative touch to every project.

https://hunchtheory.com
Previous

Omaha Growth Scenario Planning
Next

Oregon Metro Future Vision